1 Model Says Christmas Eve Snow for Missouri & Illinois, But Wait

I predict you're going to start seeing lots of predictions about a surprise snowstorm right before Christmas for Missouri and Illinois, but there are some things you should know that make that very much not likely.

I saw this shared today by One Nation Weather on YouTube and they're spot on about some big changes that we'll be seeing as the rest of December plays itself out and January begins.

Let's focus on one model many of the more sensational weather content people are focusing on. It's the European model which shows the following for late Christmas Eve on December 24. It's a decent amount of snowfall that night for our part of Missouri and Illinois.

Christmas Day looks interesting, too, with a mixture of maybe even ice over Missouri and Illinois?

As he points out, there's a reason why the European model does NOT agree with the more trusted GFS (or many other) computer weather models. Look at the projected temperatures for Christmas week.

The general consensus at this point is that the system that looked like it might drop a surprise Christmas snow on Missouri and Illinois will simply not have the atmospheric things happening that will make that possible.

It would be much more sensational at this point to hint at a big snowfall on Christmas Eve, but right now it appears that Missouri and most of Illinois will remain unseasonably mild. I fully expect we'll see a big storm system at some point in January, but it doesn't look like that will happen prior to December 25. If that changes, I'll be glad to shout it from the rooftops.